Tag Archives: airline pilots

PlaneBusiness Banter Posted!

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Greetings earthlings. Gotten a text message from Brett Favre lately?

Okay, I’ll behave.

Which is more than I can say for Mr. Favre.

The latest edition of PlaneBusiness Banter is now posted.

This week we take a look at, what else? The Southwest/AirTran deal. Lots of chatter going on about just why it was that AirTran decided to sell. We talk about that, and I answer a lot of email questions about my comments from last week concerning the deal as well.

American Airlines was all over the newswires this past week. We talk about all the airline’s news, the latest missive from the Allied Pilots Association, and we wonder just where the airline is going to get all the metal to fly all this new flying it is talking about.

Oh, and yes, the airline also recalled 800 employees. Wonder how many of those former TWA flight attendants will come back and fly? I’d be interested to know.

Meanwhile, over at United Airlines (under new management), the pilots on both sides there said this last week that they have decided to keep direct negotiations going for at least another two months — rather than ask the National Mediation Board to step in. Good. If they asked the NMB to step in it would be months before anything got done.

Five years from now — how will the industry look? What will be different? I do my best Karnac imitation this week. Complete with turban.

Then there is the strange tale of British Airways’ Captain Peter Burkill. Burkill was Captain of British Airways flight 38, the Boeing 777 aircraft that lost power in both Rolls-Royce engines during final approach to Heathrow. He and his co-pilot were hailed as heroes after they managed to land the plane safely just short of the runway.

But things turned awry for Burkill pretty quickly. When all was said and done, he quit the airline, was unable to find another job as a pilot, and found himself on welfare.

We talk about his journey this week, and the strange twist to it that just occurred.

We have all kinds of other goodies, including a rather nifty way to look at regional airline profitability that was published in a research note last week by Bank of America/Merrill Lynch analyst Glenn Engel, and the usual hot YouTube videos that made their appearance this week. We’ve got foul-mouthed furry puppets, more cartoon union negotiation stories and dancing flight attendants.

It’s just a never ending party.

All this and more in this week’s issue of PlaneBusiness Banter. Subscribers can access this week’s issue here.

Mega Earnings Issue of PlaneBusiness Banter Now Posted! — United Airlines Tague and Mikells To Leave

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Hello everyone.

This week we have a 100-plus page earnings issue of PlaneBusiness Banter for you to peruse at your leisure. And yes, at that length, it should more than take up all of your leisure time for the week. Have no fear. Next week we’ll give you another one!

This week we take in-depth looks at the recent earnings results posted by American Airlines, US Airways, United Airlines, Continental Airlines and Delta Air Lines.

This coming week the PlaneBusiness microscope will be trained on the 2Q results of JetBlue, Alaska, AirTran, Allegiant and Southwest Airlines — which is scheduled to report its second quarter numbers on Thursday.

A couple of quick observations from the group we took a look at this week.

One, even before the formal announcement was issued this morning, it had been clear for some time that United Airlines President John Tague was not a member of the executive transition team that was going to stay with the “new” United. That fact was also crystal clear as you listened to the airline’s earnings call last week.

This morning, the airline formally announced that John, Kathryn Mikells, Graham Atkinson, and Rosemary Moore would not be staying with the “new” United.

Zane Rowe, current CFO at Continental will remain, but Pete McDonald will come over from United as COO. As for the rest of the top tier execs, including those heading up marketing, communications and HR, all will come from Continental. And of course, Jeff Smisek will be CEO.

We told you so. From the beginning.

Back to earnings.

Of this group, there was clearly one airline that posted earnings above and beyond — that airline was US Airways. In fact, while the airline’s numbers were great as they were, the airline would have seen their EPS figure come in 8 cents higher — had the airline chosen to classify a refund from the TSA as regular income — not a special item. (As some airlines chose to do, including United Airlines.)

The airline posted one great quarter. On a number of fronts. It managed to stash a nice chunk of cash as well.

As for United and Continental, it’s really kind of pointless to talk about them as viable standalones at this point because the merger looms in the background. In terms of potential stock investments — I’d say all bets are off here until after the actual merger is much further along.

Delta Air Lines, which was the subject of our last non-PBB post here in PlaneBuzz had a nice quarter, and yes, the comments it made about guidance and its fourth quarter increase in capacity were way overblown.

All of that capacity hysteria was so yesterday.

Good quarter for the folks in Atlanta.

And finally, American Airlines trudged out its loss for the quarter last week as well.

We are once again putting American Airlines on the official PlaneBusiness Titanic Watch this week. The airline announced a number of executive changes this last week — but I’m not sure they are going to be enough to get the airline out of its self-created sinkhole.

More on all that in this week’s issue.

We also wrap up the news from Farnborough, and we talk about the legal move US Airways announced Monday, as they try to attempt to break the seniority fight log jam that exists between its pilots.

And finally — yes, we talk about the ongoing Tarmac Tales. Consulting studies, DOT rants, and all.

All this, and more — including a shot of the new Virgin Atlantic livery. Woo hoo! (We have to do something to celebrate Sir Richard’s 60th birthday.)

Subscribers can access this week’s issue here.

Spirit Pilots Go on Strike

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The deadline at midnight came and went.

The negotiations continued into the night.

But, at 5 a.m this morning, both sides called it quits and the pilots at Spirit Airlines, who are represented by the Air Line Pilots Association, left the negotiation table. And their cockpits.

Spirt Airlines President and CEO Ben Baldanza said in a statement, “We are frustrated and disappointed that our pilots have turned down an over 30 percent increase at a cost of over $70 million over five years while disrupting thousands of our customers and jeopardizing the livelihoods of our over 2,000 employees.”

Spirit is not publicly traded. It is owned by Indigo Partners LLC and Oaktree Capital Management, LLC.

Indigo is the private investment firm that is headed by former American West CEO Bill Franke. Howard Marks is Chairman of Oaktree, which tends to invest in high risk-high yield investments. To put it another way, Marks is known for being one of the most well-known “vulture investors.”

The strike marks the first time in five years that an employee group has struck a U.S. airline.

Baldanza told the WSJ this morning that his goal is to get the airline flying again as soon as possible, but he said he couldn’t say at this point what will happen, even Sunday. “He said Spirit has some management pilots who could operate flights, but it remains to be seen if some of the striking aviators would cross picket lines and return to work.”

Ah, well, yes, I could see where that might be a problem.

He also admitted that the airline had been trying to get charter carriers to fly on its behalf — in anticipation of a potential strike — but that “ALPA had pressured those companies, even those whose pilots aren’t represented by ALPA, and some dropped out.”

He also told the WSJ that the airline has purposely made sure all of its aircraft were back in the U.S. “where we want them to be” in anticipation of the job action.

As for the airline’s pilots? He said it was “their problem as to how they get home.”

That’s what I love about this industry. It’s just so damn warm and fuzzy. Can’t you just feel the love?

On a serious note — Spirit is not the most cash-flush operation in the world, and if the pilots are as successful in shutting the airline down as I suspect they are going to be, this could get very nasty, very quickly.

Not to be a conspiracy theorist, but I’ve seen managements use a lot less motivation to justify shutting down an airline. And who knows? Maybe someone might like to snap up some of the airline’s assets for a decent price.

I don’t say the pilots were not justified in what they did. It is their right to strike. And, in a weird way, it’s good to see the process still works.

But on the flip side, Spirit is not a major carrier. There is going to be no urgency for the administration to create a PEB. And like I said, the airline is not sitting on a lot of cash, nor do the guys who own this thing feel inclined to throw any more cash at it. In addition, while the airline has posted a profit for the last three years, a big reason that has been the case is because of the rock-bottom labor rates at the airline.

Should be an interesting weekend. Especially at the Ft. Lauderdale -Hollywood International Airport. Spirit handles 20% of the traffic out of there on a daily basis.

Southwest Announces New Service to Charleston and Greenville-Spartanburg

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Well, one out of two ain’t bad.

Three weeks ago, after returning from my BMW Performance Driving School experience in Greenville, S.C. with the folks from Travelport , I told PlaneBusiness Banter subscribers that it appeared that Southwest Airlines was coming to town.

Ding. I am now free to accept heaps of praise that I called the new city correctly.

However, the airline one-upped me today as it announced it was not only starting service to Greenville-Spartanburg, but to Charleston as well.

Oh well. I didn’t go to Charleston. Maybe if I had I would have been able to out them on that announcement as well. Heh.

Interesting that in the press release noting the new service, the airline bent over backwards to note that service to both cities is *without subsidies.* It is even in the sub-head of the press release headline.

Hmmmm.

According to the release, “The airline’s service will not be dependent on pending legislation to provide air service subsidies.”

Guess that’s a little sideways jab at AirTran — the subsidy kings?

Yes, well, Southwest received its own basket of goodies in return for flying into Northwest Florida.

Boys, boys, boys. Let’s just play nice.

With or without subsidy, I like both choices.

This Week in PlaneBusiness Banter

Terry Maxon with the Dallas Morning News dropped me a friendly note today and asked me if I had forgotten to finish my thought from last night.

No, just had to get my hard drive upgraded in the laptop today. And I simply forgot to update the post-in- progress from last night. My bad.

I could have used the excuse that I was trying to recover from what had to be one of the best sporting events I’ve ever watched last night — but no, I had a much more pedestrian excuse.

So what are we talking about in this week’s issue?

Judging from the email box today, the most talked-out piece is our PlaneBusiness Brown Bag Analyst guest column. In this column, a subscriber of ours who also just happens to be an expert in the confusing subject known as the Canadian aviation market, pens his take on the Southwest Airlines-WestJet codeshare “disagreement.”

Our guy knows his stuff.

And yes, of course I weigh in again on the American Airlines/JetBlue announcement from last week — following up on the blog post that first appeared here.

I still like the deal.

Then there is the story of the ALPA poster boy for ethics.

If you’ve read this month’s issue of Airline Pilot, the in-house mouthpiece of the Air Line Pilots Association, you know that, unfortunately, ALPA decided recently to parade out a particular ALPA member each month who it had determined exemplified the “best” of ALPA.

Yes, well, this month’s ALPA poster boy for ethics, Tim Martins, who we think has most recently been employed as a pilot for American Eagle, apparently has a problem with putting things on his Facebook page that aren’t true, much less telling the publication other, er, “facts” that now, apparently we find out, are not quite true.

A complete and total PR disaster for ALPA.

More on all this in this week’s issue.

We talk about the disappointing “agreement” that the EU and the U.S. recently trumpeted in the ongoing Open Skies negotiations. I’d argue, “What agreement?”

On the Wall Street front, one of the most well-respected airline analysts is coming back for more fun and frolic. He is going to take over for Mike Linenberg, who is getting ready to flee Bank of America/Merrill Lynch for Deutsche.

Who is the analyst that proves “everything new is old again?”

We also talk about Hudson Securities analyst Dan McKenzie’s latest competitive analysis notes. We always like to read these as they give us such a great insight as to how the major players are moving the chess men about the playing field.

We also have a couple of good letters this week, and a whole lot more.

If you are not already a subscriber to PlaneBusiness Banter — you should be. You can find out more here!

Happy April Fools Day

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Thanks to JetBlue and American Airlines for providing us with a nice bit of April Foolery this year. Yeah, right, they are going to join in some kind of partnership, slot swap, interline agreement.

Good job guys.

Oh, wait.

That was yesterday.

Today is April 1.

Hmmmm.

So what is your take on all this news? I admit it. I was surprised at the news. I thought April Fools Day had come a day early when I first saw the headline.

If you could put two airlines in front of you that exhibit totally different cultures, management attitude, brand, and product — well, here you go.

If, on the other hand, you want to strip all that out and strictly look at the deal from a strategic viewpoint — then I can see the merit.

From American’s viewpoint, clearly this gives the airline an opportunity to strengthen its position in New York at a relatively low cost — as opposed to Delta Air Lines, which continues to throw the kitchen sink, the garbage pail, and the baby’s bath water into the market in an attempt to snatch market share.

From JetBlue’s standpoint, the agreement will allow its passengers to book international flights much more easily, utilizing JetBlue on the domestic segments, and American on the international legs. In addition, JetBlue should would get eight slot pairs at Washington Reagan (which the airline has lusted after for a long time) while American would pick up 12 slot pairs at JFK.

But having said that, we have to wonder — what does Lufthansa think about all this? Remember, the German uber carrier owns a piece of JetBlue. When the airline first wrote out the check to JetBlue, the assumption was that this was because Lufthansa was less than impressed with Star Alliance partner United Airlines’ presence into New York.

What presence? Exactly.

So what happens with all this? How can JetBlue serve two alliance masters?

Aside from that niggly problem, I think this is just another example of what we are now going to continue to see more and more of in this industry — creative deals that go against what we have seen done in the past. The reason for them? Necessity. Efficiency. This is what is motivating the Delta/US Airways slot swap request. The AirTran/Continental deal.

So, on the surface, I like it. I’d be happy to see even more of these things. (But only if the airlines’ respective IT systems are up to the task!)

My only question for JetBlue would be this — have you surveyed your passengers who fly into JFK as to whom they fly on to Europe? Is American their first choice?

I would be curious to know the answer, because my gut feeling is that someone who is going to fly on JetBlue into JFK and connect to Europe might not necessarily be someone who would fly on American.

Yep. It’s that mismash of culture and expectations thing I’m thinking about.

Then again, maybe, just maybe, that might be one of the reasons American was receptive to do the deal. They knew that too.

This Week in PlaneBusiness Banter

You want to know how much money the airline industry had to shell out in additional GDS fees in 2009 as a result of the OTAs dropping their online booking fees?

We know the answer. At least we know how much Forrester Research estimates the airlines lost.

This week in PlaneBusiness Banter I sit down with Henry Harteveldt, VP and Principal Analyst with Forrester Research. We not only talk about the airlines and their additional GDS costs, we talk about onboard Wi-Fi and why AirCell’s pricing is too expensive, American’s lousy business class seats, Braniff, the shift that Forrester sees happening from legacy carriers to LCCs by corporate travel managers, and, of course, United’s decrepit onboard entertainment systems.

In other news, we look at the surprise Continental Airlines pulled on its pilot group last week. Hey, if the pilot group is going to keep waving the Delta Air Lines‘ pilot contract around — why not just give it to them? With a few minor revisions. That is exactly what the company has offered as a counter-proposal to what the pilots offered up in December.

Is this a good deal for the airline? For the pilots?

Meanwhile, Unite, the union that represents the cabin crew at British Airways made good on their promise to strike the airline this weekend. The airline estimates it has lost £7 million ($10.6 million) for each of the three days. It also says it will take the rest of the week to get itself re-positioned. Then– on Saturday, Unite has scheduled to begin a four-day strike against the airline.

Not to be outdone by the British Airways‘ cabin crew members, pilots at Germanwings and Lufthansa Cargo are now set to join Lufthansa pilots in a strike against that airline in April. After Easter. (That was considerate of them.)

This last week ISTAT held its annual conference in Orlando. We talk about the feedback we received from several subscribers who were in attendance — and yes, ILFC’s Steve Hazy was there talking up his new airline leasing venture.

Meanwhile, lots of regulatory news last week from the FAA, the NTSB, and the Office of the Special Counsel. We talk about all that — and yep, then there was that “Flight from Hell” on Virgin America last week. JetBlue saved the day. Ouch.

On the analyst front — Dan McKenzie with Hudson Securities issued an informative research note last week that looks at the changes in the competitive capacity game. We always like those.

All this — and a lot more. In this week’s issue.

Southwest Airlines Kicks Off Third Quarter Earnings Parade

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This morning Southwest Airlines kicked off the third quarter earnings parade for the things with wings.

The bulk of the sector reports earnings next week.

Excluding items, the airline reported a profit of 3 cents a share. This was a bit better than the street consensus, which had forecast the airline would post a profit, excluding items of two cents.

On the revenue side, the airline saw passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM) down 2.2%. This was much better than the airline’s PRASM drop of 6% it recorded in the second quarter. However, yields were down 12% to 12.94 cents/mile.

On the cost side, the airline saw CASM jump 6.6%, excluding fuel and special items. Last quarter, CASM was up 5.9%.

Operating margin came in at 4.8%. This was a tad lower than last year, when the airline posted a 5.1% operating margin. Not necessarily that good a thing when you consider where the price of fuel was for much of the third quarter last year.

The basics reported today were: Net loss for the quarter was $16 million or $0.02 a share. This compared to last year when the airline posted a loss of $120 million or $0.16 per share.

The results included the following special items: A charge of $27 million related to the airline’s early-out program they offered employees and a loss of $12 million related to non-cash mark-to-market items related to the airline’s fuel hedging program.

Excluding the special items, the airline posted a profit of $23 million or $0.03. This compared to last year when the airline posted a profit of $69 million or $0.09.

Mindblowing Statistic of the Day: US Airways’ Pilot’s Legal Fees

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As many of you are aware, a number of pilots representing the group of pilots at US Airways which was originally with America West, or the “West” pilots as they are nornally referred to — entered into litigation last year against USAPA, the independent pilot union that was created as a result of the original ALPA merger seniority award. That organization was, and is, made up primarily of old US Airways’ pilots, or the “East” pilots as they are known.

The reason for the litigation — the seniority award.

As many of you also know, this spring, after months of intense legal wrangling, US District Court Judge Neil Wake had whittled down the case to one central issue: whether the union is fairly representing all the pilots at US Airways. The legal term is duty of fair representation, or DFR.

The verdict after all the screaming and teeth gnashing? The court found in favor of the former America West pilots. In other words, the court agreed that yes, the formula used for the award was fair, and that by dumping ALPA and setting up USAPA in an attempt to circumvent that award — that the union did indeed not represent all of its members fairly.

But as we all know — this decision, which cost both sides millions of dollars in legal fees, really brought very little closure to anything.

First, the braintrust at USAPA basically refuses to admit that this means it needs to back off and allow the original ALPA seniority award, which used a “blended” process, and not date-of-hire method, to be used as part of any collective bargaining agreement. So essentially there has still been no movement in terms of negotiating a new contract agreement for the pilots.

And second, there is the question of damages.

And no damages are more attention-getting than the legal fees that both sides have incurred since the start of this huge mess.

This week I continue to get caught up on all my email that came in over the last couple of weeks, and today I was reading the latest missive from Leonidas, the group that sued USAPA.

In their latest missive, the group tells its members that its legal team has submitted a request that their legal fees be paid by the union, or USAPA.

“In essence though, we are making a request for the reimbursement of all legal fees and non-taxable expenses spent while protecting the careers of our pilots and protecting the validity of “binding arbitration.” To do this, we are not asking for anything too novel in that we have requested that all members of the bargaining unit share in the expense. There is no division of East or West with regard to who would be forced to pay for this legal action. On the surface, this may seem unjust, but what must be considered is the superb return on investment for all US Airways pilots should this request be granted. If the plaintiffs prevail here, then the $1.8 million in total expenses would be repaid to our legal counsel, and the balance of contributions received thus far would remain in the Leonidas trust, standing by to protect the minority for many years to come, just as stated in our Leonidas LLC objectives which were published long ago; “’We will remain perpetually poised to aggressively defend our rights until such time when we are no longer threatened.”’

So just how much are we talking about?

As they said in their comments above, the legal fees for the America West pilot group now stand at about $1.8 million.

And the litigation is not over yet.

As the folks at Leonidas point out,

“Back to that return on investment for the victims (for simplicity sake, we will use a little “chainsaw” math in this analysis):

$1,821,000 Approximate West legal expenses

5200 Approximate number of pilots subject to USAPA
$350 Approximate pro-rata share of expenses

$1,260,700 Approximate East pilot share of expenses

3600 Approximate number of East pilots

1600 Approximate number of West pilots

$560,300 Approximate West pilot share of expenses

The net result is that the class of West pilots would receive $1,260,700 from the East pilots in return for their own contributions of only $560,300- an instant return on investment of 125% for the West pilots. We will acknowledge that this does not seem fair to those West pilots who have voluntarily funded our legal effort on the front end, but it would have the benefit of compelling those unwilling West beneficiaries of our legal campaign to finally contribute something nonetheless. Of course, true justice would be served by seeking these funds directly from the primary author of the entire USAPA saga; Lee Seham himself. That will be up to either the current USAPA leadership [unlikely], or perhaps a future and competent leadership team that will take over once Cleary and his team are removed and forever banished from union affairs.”

So while now the two sides continue to fight out the damages part of the ruling in court — let’s look again at how much money we’re talking about — just to pay off the legal fees for the America West-led group of plaintiffs. Almost $2 million bucks.

And I would add — how much is USAPA itself now on the hook for — in terms of its own legal fees it has racked up in defending this ridiculous stance of theirs?

But here’s the ironic part. All those expenses are having to be paid out of the general union dues pot — that same dues pot that is supposed to fund USAPA, which is supposed to represent all pilots at the airline. Yes, including the ex-America West guys.

I’ve said it before, and I have to say it again. The utter stupidity of this situation — on more than one front — continues to just flat out amaze me.

I’m not sure we’ve ever seen anything, in terms of scope, that rivals this situation in terms of sheer union leadership idiocy.

And for this industry — that’s saying something.

Here’s hoping that the pilots at US Airways elect new union leadership at USAPA that understands, at least, the concept of rational thinking. Or maybe ….. reasoned thinking. Or maybe just …..thinking. Period.

PlaneBusiness Banter Now Posted

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This week’s mega-earnings issue of PlaneBusiness Banter is now posted. I think this one has set a new record at around 100 pages. Hey, I like to give you lots to think about.

This week I look at five airlines that recently reported second quarter earnings in-depth: AirTran; Alaska Air Group; Delta Air Lines; United Airlines; and JetBlue.

We also have earnings summaries now posted for ExpressJet, Republic Holdings, and Hawaiian Airlines on the site for PBB subscribers.

So what did we like or didn’t like about the earnings from this crop of airlines?

It was nice to have three honest-to-god profits to talk about this week. AirTran had an excellent quarter, Alaska was no slouch either, and JetBlue also had a nice quarter — although their profits were not as hefty as those posted by either AirTran or Alaska.

Then there is Delta. The airline continues to slog through some very costly underwater fuel hedges. And of course the airline is being hit hard on the international front as demand has simply gone into hiding for not only Delta but all the U.S. carriers who fly internationally.

And then there is United Airlines. CFO Kathryn Mikells was hammered in the airline’s call about the “L” word — yes, that would be liquidity.

But she retained her poise and kept telling those analysts that they were asking “terrific” questions.

Meanwhile, down in Atlanta, Delta’s Richard Anderson was called out by yours truly for his excessive use of corporate speak. And if I hear the word “synergy” one more time, I’m going to go stark raving mad.

But of course, the big news of last week was the news that Southwest Airlines had made a bid on Frontier Airlines — as part of that airline’s bankruptcy auction process.

Southwest is now burning the midnight oil, doing their due diligence, as final bids need to be in the hands of the court by Aug. 10. (Yes, look at your calendar. That’s next Monday.)

All this and much, much more, including details on the $1 billion cobbled-together financing deal that Air Canada announced this week — The Patron Saint of Failing Airlines Lives! (We are referring of course to GECAS)

All that and more in this week’s issue of PlaneBusiness Banter. Subscribers can access your issue here.