The vote will be made official today as to just which union will represent the pilots at US Airways going forward. Will it be the incumbent, ALPA? Or will it be the upstart USAPA — a product of the US Airways’ East group’s unhappiness with the ALPA seniority arbitration process?

In our unofficial poll of US Airways East and West pilots who we talk to on a semi-regular basis over the last couple of days, it sounds like ALPA may have pulled it out. But barely. And I mean b-a-r-e-l-y.

I think if ALPA pulls it out, it will be because members thought twice about what they would lose if they left the ALPA fold, (insurance and other benefits that members have paid into for years for example) and the fact that USAPA has no resources to speak of.

It would also mean that almost every US Airways West pilot voted for ALPA, and enough middle-of-the-road members of the US Airways East group joined them to swing the final count.

We’ll see.

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