Monthly Archives: August 2007

Bob McAdoo Back In Analyst Saddle

Analyze

Thanks to Terry Maxon over at the Dallas Morning-News, who writes this week in the DMN airline blog that analyst Bob McAdoo — who we last heard from just before Prudential announced it was shutting down its equity research group — has been hired as an analyst for Avondale Partners LLC of Nashville.

As some of you are aware, Bob had stints with People Express, Vanguard, and TWA, among others, before he switched to the “dark side.”

Just two weeks before Prudential announced it was shutting down its equity group in June , McAdoo had made some news of his own — as he issued a research note on Southwest Airlines that was particularly negative regarding the airline’s strategic moves in the last several years.

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Sir Richard and Colbert In Wet T-Shirt Contest

BoingBoing reports that Richard Branson and talk show host Stephen Colbert had their own version of a wet T-shirt contest during a taping of Colbert’s show last week. Actually BoingBoing, after tagging it “naked water wrestling” concedes “Okay, not “naked water wrestling,” but you know how stuff gets blown out of proportion on the internet, and that’s how it’ll be portrayed on the slash fiction sites anyway.”

According to the report:

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“At a taping of the Colbert Show last week, special guest Richard Branson dumped a mug of water on Stephen Colbert’s head, and Colbert retaliated by pouring water on Sir Richard’s head. The sources who alerted BoingBoing believed it to have been an unscripted, contentious moment so distressing for both host and guest that the Colbert Show producers would never, ever, air it.”

Other reports suggest Sir Richard became irritated after he was told he could not give a direct plug for the new Virgin airline venture. This post on MediaBistro’s Fishbowl NY apparently came from someone who was in the studio audience of the taping:

“I haven’t posted a recap anywhere else, but I’ll spill it here first. Branson was apparently upset that he wasn’t able to give a direct plug to the new Virgin service and doused Colbert with his guest mug of water. Stephen was DRENCHED. He took a beat, then signalled for his own “ammunition” for about twenty seconds until Alison (Silverman) ran and gave him her bottle of water, and Stephen retaliated. The two of them sat for a VERY uncomfortable second looking like two wet cats. Then Stephen thanked him for coming. I really don’t think it was planned, since Stephen had another bit to introduce and a full interview left to do. They had to get him a new jacket and even broke out a blowdryer. Everyone in the crew had a “WTF?” reaction.”

Apparently Branson was appearing on the Colbert Report to announce Virgin America’s new “Air Colbert” jet. You may recall that Colbert was supposed to be at Virgin’s big launch party last week, but reports say he got stuck in the weather-related traffic and finally turned around and went back to Manhattan.

Interestingly, at first, it was reported that the show with the water fight would be re-taped.

However, then the PR folks at Virgin America began sending out the  message that it was all in “good fun.” Or as MediaBistro again reports, “Virgin USA contacted us to let us know that “the segment was never intended to air live” and that “Richard enjoyed his time with Stephen, and the splash was part of the fun.”

Uh-huh.

Nice recovery.

For what it’s worth, the episode is now set to air Aug. 22.

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Follow the House Closings; Menke Returns to Frontier

In May of this year, we reported in PlaneBusiness Banter that former Frontier Airlines’ SVP Sean Menke had purchased a home in the Denver area. We were contacted by a couple of folks we know at Frontier who expressed the opinion that they hoped this meant Menke was going to return to the airline as the new CEO. I also assumed this was probably the case.

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But then a weird thing happened. Menke was named to a new position at Air Canada.

Hmmm.

But it looks like our hunches and those of the Frontier employees were on target after all.

Today it was announced that Menke will return to the airline in September as CEO.

What is so strange about all this is that, for Frontier, it’s deja vu all over again.

Menke left Frontier a couple of years ago to take a position with Air Canada. Personally, it was my belief, and still is, that Menke left because the board of directors at Frontier would not give him the CEO position.

As Frontier watchers no doubt recall, current CEO Jeff Potter did exactly the same thing. He left Frontier and became the CEO at Vanguard years ago — after he felt the airline was dragging its heels — by not naming him the CEO.

Well, what do you know?

My take on the news is that this is a good move for Frontier. I think Sean is a sharp guy. And, he has that major airline experience that Jeff was lacking. I also think he is probably the one person on the planet who knows Frontier the way he does. Overall, this is a good move for the airline — which is facing big challenges on almost every flank it has.

So remember — follow those real estate closings. Never know what you may find.

Ticker: (Nasdaq:FRNT)

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Score: Joe Leonard Minus Two, Tim Hoeksema Plus One

Public Private

Looks like the assumptions about  Northwest doing a deal for Midwest were true.

Friday, AirTran’s offer for Midwest was set to officially expire, but officials then had said AirTran would wait until Monday before making a final decision on an extension or change of the offer. Or a removal of the offer.

Tonight, it looks like AirTran is out, and Northwest is in, along with some help from a familiar source — TPG.

According to a release issued late tonight, Northwest Airlines has confirmed it is a passive investor in the acquisition entity that TPG has created to pursue an acquisition of all of the outstanding shares of Midwest Air Group, Inc. at $16 per share. The bid submitted by TPG is subject to the satisfaction of “certain conditions.” Total value of the offer is roughly $400 million.

The TPG offer was presented to the Midwest Air Group board of directors today.

According to the release, NWA, which is providing financing to facilitate the transaction, will not participate in the management or control of Midwest should TPG acquire Midwest. The previously announced codeshare agreement between NWA and Midwest Airlines will remain in place and the two airlines will explore cost reduction activities such as joint fuel purchasing.

And the most important part, from what we understand — Midwest CEO Tim Hoeksema gets to stay put as the head of the new privately-held entity.

If this deal goes through, and at this point, I don’t see why it won’t, this will be the second major merger strike out for AirTran and Joe Leonard. Three years ago the airline lost out to Southwest Airlines as they sought  a potential deal with ATA.

And, as expected, Joe Leonard is not going down without a fight. Today he was quoted in the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel.

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“Leonard said AirTran’s purchase of Midwest Air would have resulted in a big increase in air travel from Milwaukee’s Mitchell International Airport, as well as a major surge in local hiring for the airline.”

According to Leonard,  “Instead, the Midwest board has chosen a path that will benefit current senior management by selling out to a private equity firm and a so- called ‘passive’ investor whose involvement will surely raise antitrust concerns, casting doubt for shareholders on whether a transaction can, in fact, close,” Leonard said, referring to Northwest’s involvement.”

He continued, “Furthermore, private equity investors are laser focused on generating short-term returns and the only way to accomplish that goal is to slash costs by cutting back on service and eliminating jobs,” Leonard said. “If the Midwest board is successful in selling the company to a private equity investor, the Midwest employees should be concerned about their job security and Midwest’s customer service is sure to suffer.”

Reports tonight say a formal agreement is expected to be announced by Wednesday.

Tickers: (AMEX:MEH), (NYSE:NWA), (NYSE: AAI)

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TPG, Northwest to acquire Midwest

tpglogo.jpgMidwest Air Group announced tonight that it has entered in to an agreement with TPG Capitol to sell the Milwaukee-based airline holding company for $16 per share in cash. This comes just hours after AirTran allowed its hostile tender offer to expire.
No mention was made of any other investors, such as the “passive” investor mentioned by AirTran, in Midwest’s statement, but The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel is reporting that the investment group does include Northwest Airlines.
AirTran’s offer was valued at $15.75, a mix of cash and AirTran stock. Midwest Air Group is the parent of Midwest Airlines and Skyway Airlines.
We’re still waiting for comments from Chip the Cookie, the Midwest Airlines mascot.
[Read “Private equity group to buy Midwest Air” at The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.]

AirTran’s offer for Midwest expires

midwestairtran717s.jpgUsually Sunday night is fairly quiet for airline news, but we see now that AirTran has issued a press release stating that their tender offer for Midwest Air Group has expired.
AirTran’s language indicates that its not the end of this soap opera as another suitor or suitors, private equity and a “passive” investor, are going to be the winners of the Milwaukee cookie race. Rumors about an investment from Northwest have abounded in the last week.
Milwaukee news outlets are indicating that we should hear more from Midwest tonight. Stay tuned.
[Read “AirTran halts negotiations with Midwest” at The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.]

Yikes

Guys, we’re continuing to have some tech issues tonight — I think we may have an, eek, late, late Friday, er, Saturday posting of PBB this week.

We’re still working. But it looks like we may be fighting with cartoons in the morning for bandwidth. ;-(

Today in the Markets

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Okay, I know. I know. We have an issue of PlaneBusiness Banter to get out this week. But frankly, I am more interested in what is going in the markets today.

If you want to see a fight to the death — just check in on what is happening to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The markets opened with a sharp decline, then went back up, then down again. Then up, then down, then back up in positive territory, then down again. About 100 points down the last time we looked.

About the only good news that is a result of all this upheaval — the price of oil continues to decline, as markets assume the end result of all this is going to be a slowing in demand for energy products. Not so sure of that — especially in light of the fact the International Energy Agency said Friday that it is holding to its original 2007 and 2008 oil demand forecasts, as a surge of demand from Japan has apparently offset downward revisions from China and the former Soviet Union.

But what the hey. We’ll take any reduction in the price of oil we can get. As of this posting, oil is trading at about 70.78/barrel.

On the not-so-good side of this market upheaval, a morsel for your consideration. If the credit crunch continues to take no prisoners, as I think it is going to do — this could have an affect on the airline industry in another way. It could dry up financing resources available to invest in any mergers or deals that, just six months ago, would have been an easy thing to pull off.

On that note, we’ve got to get back to work.

Talk to you later.

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Email Glitch

Mailbox

Just an advisory to those who may be trying to reach our subscription manager or myself using a Planebusiness.com email address. The company who handles our email had their servers go down last night and they are still down. There had been hiccups previously this week — but now there is nothing.

So no planebusiness.com email for us. At least not as of now. And nothing as of about 5:30 last night.

Yeah, makes trying to publish a real treat too.

The web. Never a dull moment.